Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Barzal on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Pinto 50.3% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 85.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 59.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 71.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Barzal
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Barzal
Pinto
Last 7: Barzal 2-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
1
Barzal
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Barzal
Pinto
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
50.6% (2,716)
-8.7%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
54.4% (90)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
44.9% (234)
-2.6%
On power play, Pinto has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Barzal is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,097).
Barzal shoots right. Pinto is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Barzal
Pinto
Home
43.1% (1,895)
50.9% (1,501)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
49.6% (1,539)
By Period
Barzal
Pinto
P1
40.7%
48.3%
P2
44.4%
51.7%
P3
41.0%
50.9%
OT
27.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |