Scouting Report
Teddy Blueger holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Blueger 52.7% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 84.4%
Defensive zone
Blueger 68.3%
Neutral zone
Barzal 56.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Barzal
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Barzal
Blueger
Last 7: Barzal 3-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
0
Barzal
Blueger
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Barzal
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Barzal
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
53.9% (529)
-7.3%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
50.0% (6)
-9.1%
On power play, Blueger has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Blueger is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Barzal
Blueger
Home
49.6% (242)
54.3% (335)
Away
43.3% (263)
51.9% (337)
By Period
Barzal
Blueger
P1
42.4%
50.3%
P2
49.5%
55.2%
P3
47.7%
53.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:36 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |