Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Barzal wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 42.2% vs Rask 50.1% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Barzal 86.2%
Defensive zone
Barzal 83.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 89.6%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Barzal
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Barzal
Rask
Last 10: Barzal 3-7 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Barzal
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
6
Barzal
Rask
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Barzal
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (3,565)
50.0% (4,428)
-8.1%
Power Play
43.4% (205)
54.3% (363)
-10.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
35.2% (54)
+7.1%
On power play, Rask has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,699).
Barzal shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Barzal
Rask
Home
43.1% (1,895)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
40.9% (1,901)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Barzal
Rask
P1
40.7%
50.7%
P2
44.4%
48.9%
P3
41.0%
50.7%
OT
27.6%
52.1%
Final 5 min
39.9%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.0%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 13:23 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |