Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Rask 50.4% (-4.3%)
Offensive zone
Rask 52.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 56.1%
Neutral zone
Barzal 55.5%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Barzal
Rask
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
50.6% (172)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
50.0% (4)
-9.1%
On power play, Rask has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Rask is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Barzal
Rask
Home
49.6% (242)
53.7% (82)
Away
43.3% (263)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Barzal
Rask
P1
42.4%
56.0%
P2
49.5%
47.5%
P3
47.7%
49.3%
Final 5 min
40.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%