Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barzal wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 43.4% vs Rask 54.3% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 82.8%
Defensive zone
Barzal 92.4%
Neutral zone
Barzal 89.8%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 89.7%
89.7%
10.3%
Barzal
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Barzal
Rask
Last 9: Barzal 1-8 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Barzal
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
5
Barzal
Rask
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barzal
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (813)
54.5% (628)
-12.2%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
58.0% (88)
-10.6%
On even strength, Rask has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Barzal is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Barzal shoots right. Rask is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Barzal
Rask
Home
44.3% (436)
58.0% (355)
Away
40.7% (398)
51.8% (361)
By Period
Barzal
Rask
P1
39.7%
54.5%
P2
44.3%
56.3%
P3
44.2%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
42.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:32 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 18, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 07:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 16, 2018 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Victor Rask |