Mathew Barzal vs William Nylander
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mathew Barzal holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Barzal wins 42.6% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 41.4% vs Nylander 45.2% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Nylander 63.1%
Defensive zone
Barzal 72.2%
Neutral zone
Barzal 50.4%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Barzal
Nylander
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (463)
41.0% (61)
-0.6%
Power Play
34.2% (38)
0.0% (5)
+34.2%
On power play, Barzal has a +34.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Barzal shoots right. Nylander is 21.7% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Barzal
Nylander
Home
38.1% (244)
42.1% (38)
Away
41.3% (264)
32.1% (28)
By Period
Barzal
Nylander
P1
46.6%
37.5%
P2
35.7%
31.0%
P3
37.7%
47.6%
Final 5 min
40.5%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
37.9%