Mathieu Perreault vs Ryan O'Reilly
2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Perreault wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 46.7% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 56.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Perreault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Perreault
O'Reilly
Last 5: Perreault 3-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Perreault
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Perreault
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
2
0
Perreault
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (261)
53.4% (770)
-7.8%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
55.6% (54)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.4% (196)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perreault is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (184).
Perreault shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Perreault
O'Reilly
Home
42.3% (156)
53.5% (533)
Away
49.0% (149)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Perreault
O'Reilly
P1
48.6%
50.8%
P2
42.7%
52.4%
P3
44.9%
51.6%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
33.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 01:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |