Mathieu Perreault vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Perreault 77.5%
Defensive zone
Perreault 64.8%
Neutral zone
Perreault 66.0%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Perreault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Perreault
O'Reilly
Last 10: Perreault 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
6
3
Perreault
O'Reilly
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
8
Perreault
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
2
1
Perreault
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (2,465)
56.2% (15,260)
-5.5%
Power Play
52.2% (454)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
51.4% (2,811)
-7.4%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perreault is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,810).
Perreault shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Perreault
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (1,474)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.6% (1,482)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Perreault
O'Reilly
P1
52.4%
55.6%
P2
48.6%
57.0%
P3
51.8%
55.1%
OT
43.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 3 | 09:28 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:33 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 11:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |