Mathieu Perreault vs Ryan O'Reilly
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Perreault wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 51.3% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 77.4%
Defensive zone
Perreault 62.0%
Neutral zone
Perreault 65.3%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Perreault
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Perreault
O'Reilly
Last 5: Perreault 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Perreault
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Perreault
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (328)
52.7% (900)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.0% (102)
55.6% (225)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
85.7% (7)
54.5% (209)
+31.2%
On penalty kill, Perreault has a +31.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Perreault is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (235).
Perreault shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Perreault
O'Reilly
Home
55.0% (218)
55.1% (693)
Away
48.2% (220)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Perreault
O'Reilly
P1
49.3%
51.5%
P2
47.7%
54.7%
P3
59.7%
52.7%
OT
38.5%
69.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
51.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 02:13 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 26, 2014 | 3 | 19:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |