Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 47.5% vs Hertl 54.9% (-9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 79.7%
Defensive zone
Perreault 53.1%
Neutral zone
Perreault 63.3%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Perreault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Perreault
Hertl
Last 8: Perreault 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
2
0
Perreault
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Perreault
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Perreault
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (157)
55.0% (382)
-6.0%
Power Play
40.0% (40)
59.7% (67)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
75.0% (8)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Perreault is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Perreault shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Perreault
Hertl
Home
45.2% (93)
58.8% (221)
Away
47.3% (110)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Perreault
Hertl
P1
51.3%
52.6%
P2
50.8%
53.6%
P3
36.7%
62.4%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
46.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |