Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Perreault wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 57.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 76.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Perreault
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Perreault
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
0
Perreault
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (64)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.0%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
61.0% (246)
-18.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Perreault is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Perreault shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Perreault
Hertl
Home
60.9% (23)
55.2% (696)
Away
45.8% (48)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Perreault
Hertl
P1
48.1%
55.4%
P2
48.0%
54.8%
P3
57.9%
48.9%
Final 5 min
40.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2021 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |