Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 46.7% vs Bozak 54.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 63.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 82.5%
Neutral zone
Bozak 61.6%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Perreault
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Perreault
Bozak
Last 6: Perreault 4-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Perreault
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Perreault
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
3
0
Perreault
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (261)
54.2% (962)
-8.6%
Power Play
48.6% (35)
57.9% (266)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.1% (188)
-52.1%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +52.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Perreault is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Perreault shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Perreault
Bozak
Home
42.3% (156)
58.6% (732)
Away
49.0% (149)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Perreault
Bozak
P1
48.6%
54.1%
P2
42.7%
55.0%
P3
44.9%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
33.3%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
45.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |