Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Perreault wins 58.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Perreault 50.3% vs Bozak 46.2% (+5.5%)
Offensive zone
Perreault 51.6%
Defensive zone
Bozak 72.0%
Neutral zone
Bozak 50.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Perreault
Bozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Perreault
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (64)
46.7% (338)
+4.9%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
50.0% (6)
-7.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Perreault is 58.3% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Perreault shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Perreault
Bozak
Home
60.9% (23)
47.9% (194)
Away
45.8% (48)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Perreault
Bozak
P1
48.1%
40.2%
P2
48.0%
51.4%
P3
57.9%
43.1%
Final 5 min
40.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%