Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Zuccarello wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zuccarello 48.1% vs O'Reilly 54.7% (-12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.9% (31)
54.6% (669)
-12.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.3% (171)
-7.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zuccarello is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Zuccarello shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Home
30.0% (20)
56.4% (486)
Away
60.0% (15)
54.0% (441)
By Period
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
P1
42.1%
55.3%
P2
36.4%
53.4%
P3
60.0%
56.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zuccarello
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.9%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |