Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Zuccarello wins 36.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zuccarello 47.4% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-15.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 52.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (34)
56.2% (983)
-15.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.5% (254)
-55.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +55.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Zuccarello is 36.0% vs left-shot opponents (25).
Zuccarello shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
Home
35.3% (17)
56.2% (697)
Away
44.4% (18)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Zuccarello
O'Reilly
P1
38.1%
54.5%
P2
40.0%
55.5%
P3
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
25.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zuccarello
38.0%▼
39.5%
40.0%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%