Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Boldy 49.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 77.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 85.0%
Neutral zone
Coyle 55.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Coyle
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Coyle
Boldy
Last 5: Coyle 4-1 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Boldy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
0
Coyle
Boldy
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (811)
54.1% (61)
-1.8%
Power Play
44.3% (61)
42.2% (45)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (181)
25.0% (4)
+19.8%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +19.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Coyle is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Coyle shoots right. Boldy is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Home / Away
Coyle
Boldy
Home
49.0% (537)
46.3% (67)
Away
52.1% (516)
51.2% (43)
By Period
Coyle
Boldy
P1
48.7%
40.0%
P2
49.6%
51.5%
P3
53.1%
57.7%
OT
45.5%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.5%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |