Scouting Report
Matt Boldy holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Boldy shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 52.7% vs Boldy 52.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boldy 82.9%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 88.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 50.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Stenlund
Boldy
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund
Boldy
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Boldy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boldy
0
2
Stenlund
Boldy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
5
0
Stenlund
Boldy
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Boldy
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (359)
57.7% (97)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
46.2% (39)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (150)
60.0% (5)
-18.0%
On penalty kill, Boldy has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boldy shoots left. Stenlund is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Stenlund shoots right. Boldy is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Boldy
Home
53.6% (261)
57.5% (80)
Away
52.8% (265)
50.8% (61)
By Period
Stenlund
Boldy
P1
55.4%
54.5%
P2
51.5%
55.6%
P3
52.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
53.2%
Boldy
56.0%▲
45.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:59 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | Matt Boldy |