Scouting Report
Matt Calvert holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Calvert wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smith shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Calvert 42.9% vs Smith 39.9% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Smith 53.8%
Defensive zone
Calvert 56.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 53.1%
Result
Will Smith favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Calvert
Smith
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Calvert
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (178)
33.2% (184)
+2.2%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
48.1% (27)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (42)
50.0% (2)
+2.4%
On power play, Calvert has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots right. Calvert is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Calvert shoots left. Smith is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Calvert
Smith
Home
41.1% (112)
34.1% (126)
Away
38.5% (117)
36.8% (87)
By Period
Calvert
Smith
P1
33.3%
37.9%
P2
44.3%
32.9%
P3
40.7%
32.7%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
36.7%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Calvert
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.7%
Smith
40.0%▲
36.5%
35.2%