Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Cullen 55.2% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 77.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 53.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 58.2%
Result
David Backes favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Backes
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Backes
Cullen
Last 5: Backes 1-4 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backes
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
Backes
Cullen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
Backes
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
59.1% (783)
-7.0%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
60.7% (28)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
43.8% (233)
+5.5%
On even strength, Cullen has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Backes
Cullen
Home
53.1% (573)
59.0% (481)
Away
51.1% (619)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Backes
Cullen
P1
51.8%
55.7%
P2
52.3%
53.1%
P3
52.6%
58.0%
OT
33.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 03:40 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 17:14 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |