Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.0% vs Cullen 55.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 93.0%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 85.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Stepan
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stepan
Cullen
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
2
Stepan
Cullen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
Stepan
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Stepan
Cullen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (889)
59.1% (783)
-12.5%
Power Play
46.9% (113)
60.7% (28)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (101)
43.8% (233)
+3.7%
On power play, Cullen has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Stepan shoots right. Cullen is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (380).
Home / Away
Stepan
Cullen
Home
47.7% (555)
59.0% (481)
Away
45.6% (548)
52.9% (563)
By Period
Stepan
Cullen
P1
46.4%
55.7%
P2
45.7%
53.1%
P3
48.5%
58.0%
OT
35.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 27, 2016 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 13, 2016 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:03 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 10, 2016 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |