Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.6% vs Cullen 53.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 58.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 84.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 71.8%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Toews
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Toews
Cullen
Last 10: Toews 4-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
3
Toews
Cullen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
3
Toews
Cullen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (775)
56.0% (915)
+2.5%
Power Play
64.9% (225)
43.1% (116)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
55.8% (120)
43.6% (133)
+12.2%
On power play, Toews has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Toews is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Toews
Cullen
Home
63.0% (567)
56.9% (559)
Away
55.8% (570)
49.9% (619)
By Period
Toews
Cullen
P1
59.6%
56.6%
P2
58.2%
51.6%
P3
60.7%
50.5%
OT
52.4%
69.0%
Final 5 min
59.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.4%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 13:01 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 17:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 3 | 06:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 14, 2011 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |