Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.1% vs Cullen 53.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 55.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 78.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 63.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 75.5%
24.5%
75.5%
Arcobello
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Arcobello
Cullen
Last 5: Arcobello 4-1 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
3
1
Arcobello
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (858)
54.2% (251)
-4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (58)
41.7% (12)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
26.1% (23)
58.3% (24)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. Arcobello is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Arcobello shoots right. Cullen is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Cullen
Home
52.7% (478)
65.9% (126)
Away
47.5% (461)
44.7% (161)
By Period
Arcobello
Cullen
P1
52.4%
52.7%
P2
51.7%
55.9%
P3
46.4%
51.6%
OT
57.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.2%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |