Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 51.0%). Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.3% vs Dowd 50.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 68.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 66.9%
Neutral zone
Cullen 54.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Cullen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cullen
Dowd
Last 6: Cullen 2-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Cullen
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Cullen
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (637)
51.6% (343)
-1.5%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (60)
47.1% (51)
+6.2%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cullen is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (279).
Cullen shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Cullen
Dowd
Home
50.5% (400)
43.0% (172)
Away
50.2% (305)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Cullen
Dowd
P1
49.8%
47.4%
P2
48.8%
60.6%
P3
52.9%
44.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |