Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Dowd 52.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 56.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 64.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Cullen
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Cullen
Dowd
Last 10: Cullen 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
6
Cullen
Dowd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
3
Cullen
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
52.4% (6,009)
+2.4%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
56.1% (164)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
44.1% (1,635)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Cullen shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Cullen
Dowd
Home
55.8% (3,288)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Cullen
Dowd
P1
54.7%
51.7%
P2
52.8%
50.4%
P3
53.3%
50.3%
OT
62.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 13:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2018 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 11:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:41 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 12:34 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |