Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Sturm 56.2% (-2.8%)
Offensive zone
Cullen 57.3%
Defensive zone
Sturm 56.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 51.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Cullen
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
57.1% (2,681)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
61.3% (62)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
51.7% (482)
-3.7%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Sturm is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,159).
Home / Away
Cullen
Sturm
Home
55.8% (3,288)
57.3% (1,595)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
55.5% (1,630)
By Period
Cullen
Sturm
P1
54.7%
56.4%
P2
52.8%
55.1%
P3
53.3%
57.6%
OT
62.7%
60.6%
Final 5 min
53.7%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Sturm
56.0%▼
58.5%
56.4%