Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Patrick 51.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 79.9%
Defensive zone
Patrick 60.5%
Neutral zone
Patrick 64.3%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Cullen
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Patrick
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Cullen
Patrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Cullen
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
50.6% (1,978)
+4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
57.5% (120)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
57.7% (26)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Cullen shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Cullen
Patrick
Home
55.8% (3,288)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Cullen
Patrick
P1
54.7%
52.9%
P2
52.8%
49.1%
P3
53.3%
51.3%
OT
62.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |