Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 18-3 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 55.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 73.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 60.4%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Cullen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
18
(21 meetings)
3
18
Cullen
Stastny
Last 10: Cullen 0-10 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
11
Cullen
Stastny
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
4
Cullen
Stastny
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Cullen
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (915)
55.0% (1,136)
+1.0%
Power Play
43.1% (116)
57.5% (200)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (133)
53.1% (64)
-9.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Cullen shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Home / Away
Cullen
Stastny
Home
56.9% (559)
58.5% (744)
Away
49.9% (619)
52.1% (680)
By Period
Cullen
Stastny
P1
56.6%
57.9%
P2
51.6%
54.9%
P3
50.5%
53.0%
OT
69.0%
72.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 6, 2012 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 2, 2012 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2012 | 1 | 06:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:13 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 01:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |