Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 40 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Stastny 55.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 56-52 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.5%
Defensive zone
Cullen 70.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 54.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Cullen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
56
(108 meetings)
52
56
Cullen
Stastny
Last 10: Cullen 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
14
26
Cullen
Stastny
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
24
16
Cullen
Stastny
40 total
Neutral Zone
Even
14
14
Cullen
Stastny
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Cullen
Stastny
Home
55.8% (3,288)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Cullen
Stastny
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
52.8%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
53.5%
OT
62.7%
62.9%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:45 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 14:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:09 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |