Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Cullen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs Stastny 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 63.6%
Defensive zone
Cullen 55.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 63.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Cullen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Cullen
Stastny
Last 10: Cullen 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
5
1
Cullen
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
5
3
Cullen
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Cullen
Stastny
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
51.0% (588)
+5.3%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
60.6% (104)
-16.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
51.7% (89)
+1.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Cullen shoots left. Stastny is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Cullen
Stastny
Home
55.7% (194)
54.0% (400)
Away
53.9% (254)
50.7% (381)
By Period
Cullen
Stastny
P1
60.3%
57.8%
P2
53.4%
52.5%
P3
50.0%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 07:28 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:35 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 15:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 02:45 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |