Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.7% vs 56.1%). Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Stastny 55.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 73.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 77.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 56.3%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Cullen
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cullen
Stastny
Last 7: Cullen 6-1 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Stastny
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Stastny
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
1
Cullen
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
56.5% (967)
+2.6%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
58.4% (125)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
50.8% (128)
-7.0%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Cullen shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Home / Away
Cullen
Stastny
Home
59.0% (481)
56.8% (590)
Away
52.9% (563)
55.4% (630)
By Period
Cullen
Stastny
P1
55.7%
59.7%
P2
53.1%
54.8%
P3
58.0%
53.8%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 19:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 03:25 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |