Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 69.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 76.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 72.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Cullen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cullen
Kesler
Last 5: Cullen 1-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Cullen
Kesler
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Cullen
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Cullen
Kesler
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
57.6% (1,225)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
63.5% (263)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (187)
51.5% (305)
-10.9%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Cullen shoots left. Kesler is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Cullen
Kesler
Home
52.9% (416)
59.1% (881)
Away
49.7% (443)
55.7% (912)
By Period
Cullen
Kesler
P1
53.5%
56.6%
P2
51.3%
58.2%
P3
49.2%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |