Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 34 meetings). Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 44-37 in 81 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 51.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 61.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 58.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cullen
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
37
-
44
(81 meetings)
37
44
Cullen
Kesler
Last 10: Cullen 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
14
20
Cullen
Kesler
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
12
18
Cullen
Kesler
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
11
6
Cullen
Kesler
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.6%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Cullen shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Cullen
Kesler
Home
55.8% (3,288)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Cullen
Kesler
P1
54.7%
56.5%
P2
52.8%
55.9%
P3
53.3%
56.1%
OT
62.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 02:35 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 2, 2016 | 2 | 09:39 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 15, 2015 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |