Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs O'Reilly 52.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 61.3%
Defensive zone
Cullen 59.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 58.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Cullen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Cullen
O'Reilly
Last 7: Cullen 5-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
1
Cullen
O'Reilly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cullen
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
53.6% (392)
+2.7%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
47.2% (36)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
50.0% (28)
+3.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Cullen
O'Reilly
Home
55.7% (194)
54.4% (237)
Away
53.9% (254)
51.1% (219)
By Period
Cullen
O'Reilly
P1
60.3%
50.3%
P2
53.4%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
55.7%
OT
66.7%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 14:11 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 09:43 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 2 | 07:36 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |