Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 51-36 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 60.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 68.0%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Cullen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
36
(87 meetings)
51
36
Cullen
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cullen 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
19
14
Cullen
O'Reilly
33 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
19
11
Cullen
O'Reilly
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
13
11
Cullen
O'Reilly
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
56.2% (15,260)
-1.4%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
58.8% (3,445)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
51.4% (2,811)
-3.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Cullen
O'Reilly
Home
55.8% (3,288)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Cullen
O'Reilly
P1
54.7%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
53.3%
55.1%
OT
62.7%
62.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 07:43 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 09:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 4, 2018 | 1 | 07:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |