Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.0% vs 53.4%). Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.0% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 54.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Cullen
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cullen
O'Reilly
Last 6: Cullen 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Cullen
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
54.2% (251)
52.7% (900)
+1.5%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
55.6% (225)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (24)
54.5% (209)
+3.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Cullen
O'Reilly
Home
65.9% (126)
55.1% (693)
Away
44.7% (161)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Cullen
O'Reilly
P1
52.7%
51.5%
P2
55.9%
54.7%
P3
51.6%
52.7%
OT
75.0%
69.7%
Final 5 min
47.3%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:38 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |