Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cullen wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.5% vs Koivu 52.6% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 62.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 76.2%
Neutral zone
Koivu 62.3%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Cullen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cullen
Koivu
Last 8: Cullen 3-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
3
Cullen
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (652)
52.7% (873)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
63.1% (168)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (99)
47.9% (267)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cullen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Cullen shoots left. Koivu is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (960).
Home / Away
Cullen
Koivu
Home
55.3% (421)
56.7% (601)
Away
56.9% (422)
49.6% (738)
By Period
Cullen
Koivu
P1
54.4%
51.2%
P2
57.3%
55.2%
P3
56.6%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 2 | 07:18 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:30 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 15:41 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |