Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Koivu 51.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 19-15 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 57.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 61.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 53.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Cullen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
19
(34 meetings)
15
19
Cullen
Koivu
Last 10: Cullen 5-5 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
6
5
Cullen
Koivu
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
6
10
Cullen
Koivu
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
4
Cullen
Koivu
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
51.9% (3,221)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
59.3% (437)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
48.0% (764)
+0.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Cullen
Koivu
Home
55.8% (3,288)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Cullen
Koivu
P1
54.7%
51.1%
P2
52.8%
52.6%
P3
53.3%
51.8%
OT
62.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 4, 2011 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |