Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Cullen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs Koivu 51.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 51.1%
Defensive zone
Koivu 73.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 60.4%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Cullen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Cullen
Koivu
Last 10: Cullen 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
Cullen
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
3
5
Cullen
Koivu
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
52.5% (631)
+3.8%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
49.3% (73)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
47.6% (147)
+5.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Cullen shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Cullen
Koivu
Home
55.7% (194)
51.3% (431)
Away
53.9% (254)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Cullen
Koivu
P1
60.3%
51.9%
P2
53.4%
52.9%
P3
50.0%
49.8%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 07:55 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 07:28 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 1, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |