Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Cullen wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 56.0% vs Koivu 50.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 87.2%
Defensive zone
Cullen 57.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 72.1%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Cullen
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cullen
Koivu
Last 6: Cullen 4-2 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Koivu
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cullen
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (635)
50.4% (912)
+5.8%
Power Play
61.9% (105)
59.1% (44)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
46.8% (111)
+3.2%
On even strength, Cullen has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Cullen is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Cullen shoots left. Koivu is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Cullen
Koivu
Home
58.2% (380)
51.5% (610)
Away
55.4% (392)
49.0% (457)
By Period
Cullen
Koivu
P1
56.1%
48.5%
P2
57.9%
51.5%
P3
56.3%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.7%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 9, 2014 | 2 | 03:23 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |