Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nichol shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Nichol 58.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 56.7%
Defensive zone
Cullen 55.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 60.2%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Cullen
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Cullen
Nichol
Last 7: Cullen 3-4 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
2
3
Cullen
Nichol
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Nichol
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
0
1
Cullen
Nichol
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
59.0% (948)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
42.9% (14)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
59.5% (185)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Cullen shoots left. Nichol is 61.1% vs left-shot opponents (813).
Home / Away
Cullen
Nichol
Home
55.8% (3,288)
59.7% (576)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
58.1% (577)
By Period
Cullen
Nichol
P1
54.7%
58.4%
P2
52.8%
57.3%
P3
53.3%
61.1%
OT
62.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2012 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 14, 2012 | 1 | 03:42 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 15:37 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 10:52 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 1 | 15:04 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |