Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Seney wins 41.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Seney 41.1% vs Duchene 54.9% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seney 60.2%
Defensive zone
Seney 73.6%
Neutral zone
Seney 74.3%
Result
Brett Seney favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Seney
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Seney
Duchene
Last 5: Seney 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Seney
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seney
1
0
Seney
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Seney
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (258)
55.4% (1,013)
-17.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.3% (192)
-56.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.2% (17)
-41.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Seney is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Seney shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Seney
Duchene
Home
38.4% (99)
56.2% (642)
Away
37.3% (161)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Seney
Duchene
P1
34.4%
56.2%
P2
39.5%
56.5%
P3
39.8%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
34.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Seney
34.0%▼
35.5%
37.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:24 | Defensive | Brett Seney |