Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Little wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 55.1% vs Duchene 61.5% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 15-4 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 71.3%
Defensive zone
Little 82.2%
Neutral zone
Little 69.8%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Little
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
15
(19 meetings)
4
15
Little
Duchene
Last 10: Little 2-8 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Little
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
5
Little
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Little
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (847)
62.2% (802)
-4.9%
Power Play
57.5% (160)
67.3% (153)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (90)
59.4% (143)
-22.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +22.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Little is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Little shoots right. Duchene is 65.4% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Little
Duchene
Home
56.7% (575)
66.5% (555)
Away
54.4% (522)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Little
Duchene
P1
55.4%
63.2%
P2
53.9%
59.6%
P3
57.6%
65.0%
OT
58.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
56.9%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
55.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 09:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 03:21 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:50 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |