Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.8% vs Duchene 54.2% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
Eakin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Eakin
Duchene
Last 8: Eakin 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eakin
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
3
1
Eakin
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eakin
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (493)
56.8% (706)
-6.5%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
56.1% (57)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (91)
42.3% (130)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eakin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Eakin shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Eakin
Duchene
Home
49.9% (343)
56.6% (488)
Away
47.0% (283)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Eakin
Duchene
P1
51.1%
52.0%
P2
46.7%
53.7%
P3
48.0%
58.5%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2013 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 4, 2013 | 1 | 18:12 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |