Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eakin wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eakin 48.7% vs Duchene 55.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eakin 54.4%
Defensive zone
Eakin 82.3%
Neutral zone
Eakin 64.5%
Result
Cody Eakin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Eakin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Eakin
Duchene
Last 8: Eakin 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
4
Eakin
Duchene
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Eakin
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eakin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (508)
56.0% (579)
-6.6%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
59.3% (108)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (110)
25.0% (8)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Eakin has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Eakin is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Eakin shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Eakin
Duchene
Home
48.5% (330)
54.9% (375)
Away
48.6% (311)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Eakin
Duchene
P1
45.8%
58.3%
P2
50.2%
56.7%
P3
50.0%
53.1%
OT
37.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |