Scouting Report
Craig Conroy holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Conroy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Conroy wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Conroy 52.2% vs Duchene 50.4% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.3%
Defensive zone
Conroy 79.3%
Neutral zone
Conroy 61.4%
Result
Craig Conroy favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Conroy
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Conroy
Duchene
Last 5: Conroy 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Conroy
3
0
Conroy
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Conroy
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Conroy
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (124)
50.5% (1,070)
+4.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
49.3% (136)
+50.7%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (62)
50.0% (20)
-1.6%
On power play, Conroy has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Conroy is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (156).
Conroy shoots right. Duchene is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Conroy
Duchene
Home
58.7% (92)
49.8% (633)
Away
48.5% (97)
51.1% (613)
By Period
Conroy
Duchene
P1
54.9%
51.0%
P2
54.8%
51.5%
P3
49.1%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
36.8%
Final 5 min
56.8%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Conroy
44.0%▼
53.4%
53.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2010 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Craig Conroy |
| Nov 9, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Craig Conroy |