Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Brière wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brière 48.4% vs Duchene 50.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brière 54.9%
Defensive zone
Brière 55.5%
Neutral zone
Brière 52.8%
Result
Daniel Brière favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Brière
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Brière
Duchene
Last 5: Brière 1-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brière
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Brière
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Brière
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brière
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (716)
50.5% (1,070)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.8% (83)
49.3% (136)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (9)
50.0% (20)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Brière has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brière is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Brière shoots right. Duchene is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Brière
Duchene
Home
49.2% (427)
49.8% (633)
Away
47.1% (393)
51.1% (613)
By Period
Brière
Duchene
P1
48.2%
51.0%
P2
49.5%
51.5%
P3
46.7%
49.1%
OT
42.9%
36.8%
Final 5 min
49.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brière
54.0%▲
52.0%
48.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2010 | 3 | 00:32 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Daniel Brière |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 01:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |