Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 52.1% vs Duchene 54.2% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Result
David Backes favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Backes
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Backes
Duchene
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
4
3
Backes
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
7
0
Backes
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (726)
56.8% (706)
-2.4%
Power Play
47.8% (92)
56.1% (57)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (94)
42.3% (130)
-1.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Backes is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Backes shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Backes
Duchene
Home
50.8% (447)
56.6% (488)
Away
53.8% (465)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Backes
Duchene
P1
51.8%
52.0%
P2
53.2%
53.7%
P3
52.8%
58.5%
OT
33.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 19:50 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | OT | 03:20 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 13:57 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Feb 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | David Backes |