Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Iginla on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Iginla 49.9% vs Duchene 54.2% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 65.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 90.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 77.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Iginla
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Iginla
Duchene
Last 7: Iginla 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Iginla
2
1
Iginla
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Iginla
4
0
Iginla
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Iginla
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (183)
56.8% (706)
-6.0%
Power Play
48.2% (56)
56.1% (57)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
42.3% (130)
-4.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Iginla is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (195).
Iginla shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Iginla
Duchene
Home
51.9% (133)
56.6% (488)
Away
47.4% (114)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Iginla
Duchene
P1
48.2%
52.0%
P2
49.3%
53.7%
P3
51.7%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:39 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:29 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jarome Iginla |