Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 48.5% vs Duchene 61.5% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McClement 83.3%
Defensive zone
McClement 76.7%
Neutral zone
McClement 83.1%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
McClement
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McClement
Duchene
Last 5: McClement 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
McClement
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
McClement
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (420)
62.2% (802)
-13.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
67.3% (153)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (94)
59.4% (143)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. McClement is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (344).
McClement shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
McClement
Duchene
Home
52.5% (244)
66.5% (555)
Away
44.5% (281)
58.6% (543)
By Period
McClement
Duchene
P1
52.3%
63.2%
P2
46.4%
59.6%
P3
46.6%
65.0%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |