Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Franzen on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 49.4% vs Duchene 54.2% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Franzen leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 89.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 78.3%
21.7%
78.3%
Franzen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Franzen
Duchene
Last 10: Franzen 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Franzen
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Franzen
5
1
Franzen
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
56.8% (706)
-10.5%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
56.1% (57)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
42.3% (130)
-2.3%
On power play, Franzen has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Franzen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Franzen shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Franzen
Duchene
Home
48.4% (31)
56.6% (488)
Away
48.4% (31)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Franzen
Duchene
P1
48.1%
52.0%
P2
60.0%
53.7%
P3
40.0%
58.5%
Final 5 min
36.4%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 2 | 06:38 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 07:41 | Defensive | Johan Franzen |